

First off, this is all speculation. No one knows how the 2010 Celtics will gel together, especially with the additions of Rasheed Wallace and Marquis Daniels, along with Rajon Rondo playing without an extension after getting ripped by his GM this offseason. What we do know is that the experts and scouts at ESPN like their chances this year - half chose them to make it to the NBA Finals this year out of a talented Eastern Conference.
The logic there makes sense. This was a team that won a NBA Championship 2 years ago and was a fierce opponent in the regular season before losing Kevin Garnett. Now Garnett is back, and the team has addressed its biggest weakness by reloading the bench with Sheed, 'Quisy, and re-signing Glen "Big Baby"
While still thin in the backcourt, it is a major upgrade over last year's bench, especially after Leon Powe was lost for the postseason. That team was forced to start Big Baby in Garnett's absence, and play Brian Scalabrine (!) meaningful minutes at the 4 and 5, while occasionally ceding PG duties to a half-crazed Stephon Marbury. How were they able to pull that off with $58 million tied up in salary for the "Three Amigos" and the NBA's salary cap at $57.7 million in 2010?
Not pictured - Brian Scalabrine
Thrifty shopping, a solid use of exceptions, and decreased market value of players made this team possible. Essentially, in locking up Daniels, Davis, and Wallace, they secured three players that would likely have gotten Mid-Level Exception deals in the economic climate of 2006 for under $11 million, a savings of approximately $7 million to the deal. Additionally, the use of free agency exceptions ($5.8m mid-level for 'Sheed, $1.99m biannual for Daniels) allowed the team to reload with free agents despite being well over the cap.
But how did the economy play a role? Let's take a look at the caliber of player that was signing these deals just three years ago.
In 2006, the key Mid-level exception signings ($5.2 million) were:
In 2008, these signings ($5.5m) were:
It appears that both Wallace and Davis would have fit into past trends on MLE players; Wallace an aging post presence with a stout defensive base, and Davis an up-and-coming big man with unexplored potential and a solid background. In 2006 – and possibly 2008, either player would have been worth about $6 million per year. In fact, the argument could be made that in a more competitive market, Wallace would have been worth between $8-10 million due to his status in the league – although his talent is clearly on the decline. Would a 32-year-old Rasheed be worth $8m/year for 4 years? In 2006, it would be a feasible argument.
What about Daniels? $2 million per seems awfully low for a player who averaged nearly 14 points per game while filling roles all over the court. Daniels was a key factor in setting up the Pacers’ offense with his slashing drive, and rebounded and defended well in
Similar Contracts:
Similar Players:
The Jones signing has several parallels to Daniels – a former athletic Pacers guard who looked good in short minutes, has a spotty reputation for shooting the 3, and can play the
Bargains were a key to the 2008 championship in Boston as well. Danny Ainge took a huge gamble in banking on a 2nd year player to lead his team from the point guard position. A huge factor in that decision was Rondo's rookie scale contract, which made throwing the young player into the fire a more palatable choice than trading for a higher priced veteran. The risk paid off – the team won a championship and Rondo built on that confidence and appears to only be getting better after a near triple double in last year's playoffs.
But…what if?
Let's say the economy doesn’t tank, and the NBA is still a league reliant on bloated contracts. Players like Zaza Pachulia, Hakim Warrick, Linas Kleiza, and Ramon Sessions, are commanding the full MLE in a weak free agent crop. This inflation is prevalent in most contracts, just like in 2006. What do the Celtics get with their exceptions? Two possible scenarios:
Like 2008, they stand one bad injury away from losing a title shot. However, thanks to the tanking financials of the 2010 NBA season, they’re reloaded with the strongest team (on paper) that they’ve had since the Bird era. So if you’re a